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For more information, please visit Citicoline Sodium And Stroke Prevention.
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The timing of outcome measures indicates the approximate target for the review. It is based on the conventional timing used in the assessment of these outcomes.
Neurological function assessed with the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) ( Harrison ). We assessed this at the first 24 hours (acute phase), at 72 hours, and at discharge. See Appendix 3 for details.
Degree of disability or dependence in daily activities according to the modified Rankin scale (at 90 days) ( Harrison van Swieten ). See Appendix 1
Citicoline administered at any dose, by any route, and for any duration of treatment, versus no intervention, placebo, or other interventions. Since acute ischemic stroke requires a variety of medical treatments (that is, primary interventions), we considered citicoline as a supplementary intervention. Thus, for the purpose of this review, eligible RCTs were those that compared the same primary interventions with and without citicoline supplementation.
People (children or adults) with acute ischemic stroke, irrespective of etiology. We used clinical diagnosis with imaging as an eligibility criterion.
We included randomized controlled trials (RCTs) irrespective of publication status. We did not apply any limitation by language, country, or duration of followup. We only included paralleldesign trials.
We screened the reference lists of relevant studies and use Cited Reference Search within Web of Science to identify further studies for potential inclusion in the review, and we contacted trialists and companies for further information.
In order to identify unpublished information submitted for the marketing approval of citicoline, we also searched the following sites.
With the assistance of the Cochrane Stroke Group's Information Specialist, we designed the search strategy in MEDLINE and adapted it to all other databases ( Appendix 5 ). We combined all search strategies deployed with subject strategy adaptations of the Highly Sensitive Search Strategy designed by Cochrane for identifying randomized controlled trials and controlled clinical trials (as described in the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions Chapter 6: Lefebvre ).
See the methods for the Cochrane Stroke Group Specialised register. We searched for trials in all languages and arranged for translation of relevant articles where necessary.
We conducted data collection and analysis of data according to the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Higgins a; Higgins b).
Two review authors (AMC, CV) independently screened titles and abstracts of the references obtained as a result of our searching activities, and excluded obviously irrelevant reports. We retrieved the fulltext articles for the remaining references and, independently, two or more review authors (AMC, CV, IS) screened the fulltext articles and identified studies for inclusion. They also identified and recorded reasons for exclusion of the ineligible studies. We resolved any disagreements through discussion or, if required, we consulted a third review author (JMF). We collated multiple reports of the same study so that each study, not each reference, was the unit of interest in the review. We recorded the selection process and completed a PRISMA flow diagram.
Two review authors (AMC, CV) independently extracted data from included studies. We developed an Excel spreadsheet based on the 'Data extraction template for included studies' from the Consumers and Communication Group resources for authors. We planned to describe the details of the intervention following recommendations from Hoffmann and Hoffmann .
Two review authors (AMC, CV) independently assessed risk of bias for each study using the criteria outlined in the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Higgins c). We resolved any disagreements by discussion or by involving another review author (JMF, XB). We assessed the risk of bias according to the following domains.
Random sequence generation
Allocation concealment
Blinding of participants and personnel
Blinding of outcome assessment
Incomplete outcome data
Selective outcome reporting
Other bias
We graded the risk of bias for each domain as high, low, or unclear and provide information from the study report together with a justification of our judgment in the 'Risk of bias' tables.
We included company funding, bias in the presentation of the data, design bias, measurements and confounding biases under 'Other bias'. See Porta for definitions of the examples of biases.
See Appendix 12 for details of domains.
For binary outcomes in this review, such as allcause mortality and adverse events, we calculated the risk ratio (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).
For future updates we will follow this approach: for continuous outcomes, such as functional outcome, degree of disability or dependence in daily activities, and neurological, behavioral and cognitive function, we plan to calculate the mean difference (MD) with 95% CI. If ordinal data are reported, we will use a proportional odds model as a measure of treatment effect with Stata statistical software (STATA) (Bath : Deeks ; Scott ). If different scales are used for measuring the same outcome, for example quality of life, we plan to use the standardized mean difference (SMD) with 95% CI. We will also estimate ratio of means (RoM) with 95% CI from mean difference (Friedrich ). Due to practitioners' understanding and preferring dichotomous presentations of continuous outcomes, which they perceive to be the most useful (Johnston ), we will estimate odds ratios (OR) with 95% CI and the number needed to treat for an additional beneficial outcome (NNTB) from SMD with Furukawa's method (Furukawa ; Furukawa ).
As recommended in section 9.2.3.2 of the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Higgins a), if necessary we will multiply the mean values from one set of studies by 1 to ensure that all the scales point in the same direction (Deeks ).
If statistical information is missing (such as standard deviations), we will try to extract them from other relevant information in the paper, such as P values and CIs.
We will calculate the NNTB if the RR was significant (P value < 0.05). NNTB is a measure of assessment of clinical useful of the consequences of treatment (Laupacis ). We will estimate NNTB with GraphPad software and with the Cochrane Stroke Group NNT calculator. If ordinal data are reported, we will estimate NNTB according to Bath .
The unit of analysis was participants. We excluded cluster RCTs.
As recommended in the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions, we conducted the following plan to assess the outcomes with multiple observations.
For primary outcomes (allcause mortality and degree of disability or dependence in daily activities according to the modified Rankin scale) and secondary outcomes (adverse events, functional recovery and quality of life), we selected a single time point and analyzed only data at this time for trials in which it will be presented.
Neurological function assessed with the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (secondary outcome): we planned to define different periods of followup (shortterm, mediumterm, and longterm followup) ( Deeks ), and perform separate analyses.
We assessed the percentage of dropouts for each intervention group for each included trial, and evaluated whether an intentiontotreat (ITT) analysis was performed or could have been performed from the available published information. We contacted study authors to resolve any questions arising from this issue.
In order to undertake an ITT analysis, we sought data from the trial authors about the number of participants in treatment groups, irrespective of their compliance and whether or not they were later thought to be ineligible, otherwise excluded from treatment, or lost to followup. If this information was not forthcoming, we performed a 'per protocol' analysis of those who completed the study, being aware that it may be biased.
We included participants with incomplete or missing data in sensitivity analyses by imputing them according to the following scenarios (Hollis ).
Extreme case analysis favoring the experimental intervention ('bestworse' case scenario): none of the dropouts/participants lost from the experimental arm, but all of the dropouts/participants lost from the control arm experienced the outcome, including all randomized participants in the denominator.
Extreme case analysis favoring the control ('worstbest' case scenario): all dropouts/participants lost from the experimental arm, but none from the control arm experienced the outcome, including all randomized participants in the denominator.
GambleHollis analysis, which takes account of the uncertainty and generates uncertainty intervals for a trial incorporating both sampling error and the potential impact of missing data ( Gamble ). This method increases the uncertainty of the trials using the results from the bestcase and worstcase analyses ( Chaimani ).
We quantified statistical heterogeneity using the I² statistic, which describes the percentage of total variation across trials that is due to heterogeneity rather than sampling error (Higgins ). We had set an I² threshold greater than 60% to consider the presence of statistical heterogeneity (Deeks ).
We did not identify 10 or more RCTs to conduct the assessment of reporting biases for any outcome. For the future update, therefore, we will use the contourenhanced funnel plot to differentiate asymmetry that is due to publication bias from that due to other factors (Peters ). We will assess likelihood of publication bias with Harbord's and Peters' tests (Sterne ). We will use Stata statistical software to produce conventional and contour funnel plots (STATA).
We developed a 'Summary of findings' table with the following outcomes: allcause mortality; degree of disability or dependence in daily activities on the modified Rankin scale; adverse events; functional recovery (Barthel Index); neurological function (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale: NIHSS); and quality of life ( ). We assessed the quality of the evidence for each outcome according to GRADE domains (study limitations, consistency of effect, imprecision, indirectness and publication bias) (Atkins ). We used methods and recommendations described in Section 8.5 and Chapter 12 of the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Schünemann a), and GRADEpro GDT software (GRADEpro GDT ). We justified all decisions to downgrade the quality of the evidence using footnotes, and we made comments to aid the reader's understanding of the review where necessary. We calculated the assumed control group risks using the median control group risk (Schünemann b).
We conducted the following subgroup analysis for primary outcomes if more than five trials were included.
Trials supported by pharmaceutical companies versus trials without support by pharmaceutical companies.
Trials with low risk of bias versus trials with high risk of bias.
Trials with small sample size ( 200 participants) versus trials with large sample size (> 200 participants).
Due to lack of data, we were not able to conduct subgroup analysis with:
participants with diabetes mellitus versus participants without diabetes mellitus;
participants with high blood pressure versus participants without high blood pressure.
We performed sensitivity analysis for primary outcomes with Stata statistical software (STATA), in order to explore the influence of particular factors on the intervention effect size: 'bestworst case' scenario versus 'worstbest case' scenario and GambleHollis analysis (Gamble ).
We estimated the threshold for clinical relevance for primary outcomes through use of Bayes factors (Jakobsen ). The Bayes factor is a likelihood ratio that indicates the relative strength of evidence for two theories (Dienes ; Dienes Goodman ; Goodman ). The Bayes factor is a comparison of how well two hypotheses (the null hypothesis H0; and the alternative hypothesis H1) predict the data (Goodman ). The Bayes factor provides a continuous measure of evidence for H1 over H0. When the Bayes factor is 1, evidence is insensitive, and this means that the data are equally well predicted by both models and the evidence does not favor either model over the other (1 means the data are as well predicted by H1 as H0, so it should not be interpreted as favoring H0; rather the evidence does not point either way). As the Bayes factor increases above 1 (towards infinity) the evidence favors H1 over H0. As the Bayes factor decreases below 1 (towards 0) the evidence favors H0 over H1 (Dienes ; Dienes ; Dienes ).
Despite the use of Bayes factors, we based the conclusions of this Cochrane Review on the Review Manager 5 analysis (Review Manager ).
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